Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.873956 16.925492 19.288333 22.241955 25.879719 30.273941 36.078955
2025-03-09 12.370093 14.917016 18.114425 22.525888 28.629012 37.063616 50.175984
2025-03-16 10.598011 13.224911 16.698654 21.799506 29.423977 41.015613 61.434423
2025-03-23 9.552188 12.252891 15.979348 21.747059 30.974579 46.294130 76.824953
2025-03-30 8.506383 11.121095 14.837774 20.811652 30.861979 48.719902 88.100287
2025-04-06 7.620676 10.108403 13.726170 19.715206 30.205084 49.921294 97.405774
2025-04-13 6.946141 9.331776 12.871950 18.890313 29.828956 51.510805 108.497868
2025-04-20 7.024411 9.667641 13.745022 21.046672 35.345695 67.043227 168.647701
2025-04-27 6.790145 9.498156 13.786945 21.750436 38.206588 77.916597 228.180698
2025-05-04 6.306813 8.896804 13.055621 20.927841 37.677211 80.070113 257.388281
2025-05-11 6.118386 8.749170 13.069033 21.509136 40.368771 92.228232 353.950617
2025-05-18 5.808236 8.379483 12.663897 21.212722 40.961660 98.532304 434.241818
2025-05-25 5.523353 8.046890 12.320918 21.053516 42.012247 107.492748 567.873891
2025-06-01 5.317819 7.833020 12.172061 21.281246 44.142444 121.852685 827.472339
2025-06-08 5.012363 7.428079 11.638358 20.613080 43.720502 126.298144 1014.775856
2025-06-15 4.814267 7.194494 11.402103 20.564460 45.028338 139.114000 1478.023909
2025-06-22 4.532676 6.799357 10.832079 19.699697 43.779239 139.688870 1724.046859
2025-06-29 4.254125 6.396122 10.221875 18.684452 41.902716 136.418328 1859.881604
2025-07-06 4.024740 6.069136 9.738991 17.919484 40.668667 135.983224 2132.988643
2025-07-13 4.122548 6.325920 10.401198 19.917086 48.681288 194.196794 11032.669155
2025-07-20 4.064708 6.297753 10.497593 20.567591 52.543830 235.065440 67137.060089
2025-07-27 3.871902 6.012603 10.054611 19.807180 51.144831 235.510627 133806.031303
2025-08-03 3.814458 5.974319 10.113830 20.344631 54.770276 283.647097 NaN